| 2024 | Narratives, Expectations, and Policy Criteria for a Democratic and Socially Engaging Energy Transition Inês Campos, Miguel Brito, Stefan Pfenninger-Lee, Luís M. Fazendeiro, Guilherme Pontes Luz, Francesco Lombardi, Aías Lima, Cristina Madrid-López (2024). Futures. doi: 10.1016/j.futures.2024.103496 | |
| Past Peak Prominence: The Changing Role of Integrated Assessment Modeling in the IPCC Ema Gusheva, Stefan Pfenninger, Johan Lilliestam (2024). iScience. doi: 10.1016/j.isci.2024.111213 | ||
| Spatial Integration for Firm and Load-Following Wind Generation Javier López Prol, Fernando deLlano- Paz, Anxo Calvo-Silvosa, Stefan Pfenninger, Iain Staffell (2024). Environmental Research Letters. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad5d7d | ||
| The Role of Inter-Island Transmission in Full Decarbonisation Scenarios for Indonesia’s Power Sector Jannis Langer, Francesco Lombardi, Stefan Pfenninger, Harkunti P. Rahayu, Muhammad Indra Al Irsyad, Kornelis Blok (2024). Environmental Research: Energy. doi: 10.1088/2753-3751/ad53cb | ||
| Harder, Better, Faster, Stronger: Understanding and Improving the Tractability of Large Energy System Models Manuel Bröchin, Bryn Pickering, Tim Tröndle, Stefan Pfenninger (2024). Energy, Sustainability and Society. doi: 10.1186/s13705-024-00458-z | ||
| The Potential Role of Airborne and Floating Wind in the North Sea Region Hidde Vos, Francesco Lombardi, Rishikesh Joshi, Roland Schmehl, Stefan Pfenninger (2024). Environmental Research: Energy. doi: 10.1088/2753-3751/ad3fbc | ||
| Open Code and Data Are Not Enough: Understandability as Design Goal for Energy System Models Stefan Pfenninger (2024). Progress in Energy. doi: 10.1088/2516-1083/ad371e | ||
| Land-Free Bioenergy from Circular Agroecology – A Diverse Option Space and Trade-Offs Fei Wu, Stefan Pfenninger, Adrian Müller (2024). Environmental Research Letters. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad33d5 | ||
| Wind-Solar Technological, Spatial and Temporal Complementarities in Europe: A Portfolio Approach Javier López Prol, Fernando de Llano Paz, Anxo Calvo-Silvosa, Stefan Pfenninger, Iain Staffell (2024). Energy. doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.130348 | ||
| 2023 | Identifying Energy Model Fingerprints in Mitigation Scenarios Mark M. Dekker, Vassilis Daioglou, Robert Pietzcker, Renato Rodrigues, Harmen-Sytze de Boer, Francesco Dalla Longa, Laurent Drouet, Johannes Emmerling, Amir Fattahi, Theofano Fotiou, Panagiotis Fragkos, Oliver Fricko, Ema Gusheva, Mathijs Harmsen, Daniel Huppmann, Maria Kannavou, Volker Krey, Francesco Lombardi, Gunnar Luderer, Stefan Pfenninger, Ioannis Tsiropoulos, Behnam Zakeri, Bob van der Zwaan, Will Usher, Detlef van Vuuren (2023). Nature Energy. doi: 10.1038/s41560-023-01399-1 | |
| A Global Model of Hourly Space Heating and Cooling Demand at Multiple Spatial Scales Iain Staffell, Stefan Pfenninger, Nathan Johnson (2023). Nature Energy. doi: 10.1038/s41560-023-01341-5 | ||
| Challenges and Opportunities for Bioenergy in Europe: National Deployment, Policy Support, and Possible Future Roles Fei Wu and Stefan Pfenninger (2023). Bioresource Technology Reports. doi: 10.1016/j.biteb.2023.101430 | ||
| What Is Redundant and What Is Not? Computational Trade-Offs in Modelling to Generate Alternatives for Energy Infrastructure Deployment Francesco Lombardi, Bryn Pickering, Stefan Pfenninger (2023). Applied Energy. doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.121002 | ||
| Enhancing Drought Resilience and Energy Security through Complementing Hydro by Offshore Wind Power—The Case of Brazil Paula Conde Santos Borba, Wilson C. Sousa, Milad Shadman, Stefan Pfenninger (2023). Energy Conversion and Management. doi: 10.1016/j.enconman.2022.116616 | ||
| Strategic Uses for Ancillary Bioenergy in a Carbon-Neutral and Fossil-Free 2050 European Energy System Fei Wu, Adrian Muller, Stefan Pfenninger (2023). Environmental Research Letters. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aca9e1 | ||
| 2022 | Enhanced Spatio-Temporal Electric Load Forecasts Using Less Data with Active Deep Learning Arsam Aryandoust, Anthony Patt, Stefan Pfenninger (2022). Nature Machine Intelligence. doi: 10.1038/s42256-022-00552-x | |
| How Offshore Wind Could Become Economically Attractive in Low-Resource Regions like Indonesia Jannis Langer, Sergio Simanjuntak, Stefan Pfenninger, Antonio Jarquin Laguna, George Lavidas, Henk Polinder, Jaco Quist, Harkunti Pertiwi Rahayu, Kornelis Blok (2022). iScience. doi: 10.1016/j.isci.2022.104945 | ||
| Meteorologically-Informed Spatial Planning of European PV Deployment to Reduce Multiday Generation Variability Dirk Mühlemann, Doris Folini, Stefan Pfenninger, Martin Wild, Jan Wohland (2022). Earth's Future. doi: 10.1029/2022EF002673 | ||
| Diversity of Options to Eliminate Fossil Fuels and Reach Carbon Neutrality across the Entire European Energy System Bryn Pickering, Francesco Lombardi, Stefan Pfenninger (2022). Joule. doi: 10.1016/j.joule.2022.05.009 | ||
| Open Energy System Modelling to Support the European Green Deal Diana Süsser, Bryn Pickering, Ludwig Hülk, Stefan Pfenninger (2022). F1000Research. doi: 10.12688/f1000research.121619.1 | ||
| High-Resolution Large-Scale Onshore Wind Energy Assessments: A Review of Potential Definitions, Methodologies and Future Research Needs Russell McKenna, Stefan Pfenninger, Heidi Heinrichs, Johannes Schmidt, Iain Staffell, Christian Bauer, Katharina Gruber, Andrea N. Hahmann, Malte Jansen, Michael Klingler, Natascha Landwehr, Xiaoli Guo Larsén, Johan Lilliestam, Bryn Pickering, Martin Robinius, Tim Tröndle, Olga Turkovska, Sebastian Wehrle, Jann Michael Weinand, Jan Wohland (2022). Renewable Energy. doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2021.10.027 | ||
| 2021 | Mitigating a Century of European Renewable Variability with Transmission and Informed Siting Jan Wohland, David J. Brayshaw, Stefan Pfenninger (2021). Environmental Research Letters. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/abff89 | |
| Trends in Tools and Approaches for Modelling the Energy Transition Miguel Chang, Jakob Zink Thellufsen, Behnam Zakeri, Bryn Pickering, Stefan Pfenninger, Henrik Lund, Poul Alberg Østergaard (2021). Applied Energy. doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.116731 | ||
| 2020 | Policy Decision Support for Renewables Deployment through Spatially Explicit Practically Optimal Alternatives Francesco Lombardi, Bryn Pickering, Emanuela Colombo, Stefan Pfenninger (2020). Joule. doi: 10.1016/j.joule.2020.08.002 | |
| Trade-Offs between Geographic Scale, Cost, and Infrastructure Requirements for Fully Renewable Electricity in Europe Tim Tröndle, Johan Lilliestam, Stefano Marelli, Stefan Pfenninger (2020). Joule. doi: 10.1016/j.joule.2020.07.018 | ||
| On the Potential of “Photovoltaics + Electric Vehicles” for Deep Decarbonization of Kyoto’s Power Systems: Techno-economic-social Considerations Takuro Kobashi, Takahiro Yoshida, Yoshiki Yamagata, Katsuhiko Naito, Stefan Pfenninger, Kelvin Say, Yasuhiro Takeda, Amanda Ahl, Masaru Yarime, Keishiro Hara (2020). Applied Energy. doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.115419 | ||
| The Near- to Mid-Term Outlook for Concentrating Solar Power: Mostly Cloudy, Chance of Sun Johan Lilliestam, Lana Ollier, Mercè Labordena, Stefan Pfenninger, Richard Thonig (2020). Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy. doi: 10.1080/15567249.2020.1773580 | ||
| The NExus Solutions Tool (NEST) v1.0: An Open Platform for Optimizing Multi-Scale Energy–Water–Land System Transformations Adriano Vinca, Simon Parkinson, Edward Byers, Peter Burek, Zarrar Khan, Volker Krey, Fabio A. Diuana, Yaoping Wang, Ansir Ilyas, Alexandre C. Köberle, Iain Staffell, Stefan Pfenninger, Abubakr Muhammad, Andrew Rowe, Roberto Schaeffer, Narasimha D. Rao, Yoshihide Wada, Ned Djilali, Keywan Riahi (2020). Geoscientific Model Development. doi: 10.5194/gmd-13-1095-2020 | ||
| Energy Self-Sufficient Households with Photovoltaics and Electric Vehicles Are Feasible in Temperate Climate Ursin Gstöhl and Stefan Pfenninger (2020). PLOS ONE. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0227368 | ||
| Sub-National Variability of Wind Power Generation in Complex Terrain and Its Correlation with Large-Scale Meteorology Bryn Pickering, Christian M. Grams, Stefan Pfenninger (2020). Environmental Research Letters. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab70bd | ||
| 2019 | Home-Made or Imported: On the Possibility for Renewable Electricity Autarky on All Scales in Europe Tim Tröndle, Stefan Pfenninger, Johan Lilliestam (2019). Energy Strategy Reviews. doi: 10.1016/j.esr.2019.100388 The full result dataset is openly available. The code is available as a reproducible workflow on GitHub (archived on Zenodo). | |
| The Dragon Awakens: Will China Save or Conquer Concentrating Solar Power? Johan Lilliestam, Lana Ollier, Stefan Pfenninger (2019). AIP Conference Proceedings. doi: 10.1063/1.5117648 | ||
| Estimation of Losses in Solar Energy Production from Air Pollution in China since 1960 Using Surface Radiation Data Bart Sweerts, Stefan Pfenninger, Su Yang, Doris Folini, Bob van der Zwaan, Martin Wild (2019). Nature Energy. doi: 10.1038/s41560-019-0412-4 | ||
| CMIP-5 Models Project Photovoltaics Are a No-Regrets Investment in Europe Irrespective of Climate Change Johannes Müller, Doris Folini, Martin Wild, Stefan Pfenninger (2019). Energy. doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2018.12.139 The method to accurately estimate PV potential based on climate data is included in our open-source tool GSEE as of version v0.3.0. | ||
| 2018 | Calliope: A Multi-Scale Energy Systems Modelling Framework Stefan Pfenninger and Bryn Pickering (2018). Journal of Open Source Software. doi: 10.21105/joss.00825 | |
| Impacts of Inter-annual Wind and Solar Variations on the European Power System Seán Collins, Paul Deane, Brian Ó Gallachóir, Stefan Pfenninger, Iain Staffell (2018). Joule. doi: 10.1016/j.joule.2018.06.020 | ||
| Will Policies to Promote Energy Efficiency Help or Hinder Achieving a 1.5 °C Climate Target? Anthony Patt, Oscar van Vliet, Johan Lilliestam, Stefan Pfenninger (2018). Energy Efficiency. doi: 10.1007/s12053-018-9715-8 | ||
| The Increasing Impact of Weather on Electricity Supply and Demand Iain Staffell and Stefan Pfenninger (2018). Energy. doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2017.12.051 | ||
| Opening the Black Box of Energy Modelling: Strategies and Lessons Learned Stefan Pfenninger, Lion Hirth, Ingmar Schlecht, Eva Schmid, Frauke Wiese, Tom Brown, Chris Davis, Matthew Gidden, Heidi Heinrichs, Clara Heuberger, Simon Hilpert, Uwe Krien, Carsten Matke, Arjuna Nebel, Robbie Morrison, Berit Müller, Guido Pleßmann, Matthias Reeg, Jörn C. Richstein, Abhishek Shivakumar, Iain Staffell, Tim Tröndle, Clemens Wingenbach (2018). Energy Strategy Reviews. doi: 10.1016/j.esr.2017.12.002 | ||
| 2017 | Balancing Europe's Wind-Power Output through Spatial Deployment Informed by Weather Regimes Christian M. Grams, Remo Beerli, Stefan Pfenninger, Iain Staffell, Heini Wernli (2017). Nature Climate Change. doi: 10.1038/nclimate3338 | |
| High Solar Photovoltaic Penetration in the Absence of Substantial Wind Capacity: Storage Requirements and Effects on Capacity Adequacy Fabrizio Fattori, Norma Anglani, Iain Staffell, Stefan Pfenninger (2017). Energy. doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2017.07.007 | ||
| Empirically Observed Learning Rates for Concentrating Solar Power and Their Responses to Regime Change Johan Lilliestam, Mercè Labordena, Anthony Patt, Stefan Pfenninger (2017). Nature Energy. doi: 10.1038/nenergy.2017.94 Data is openly available from CSP.guru. The paper was corrected on 22 March 2019; see the detailed corrections (underlying data not affected by correction). | ||
| Dealing with Multiple Decades of Hourly Wind and PV Time Series in Energy Models: A Comparison of Methods to Reduce Time Resolution and the Planning Implications of Inter-Annual Variability Stefan Pfenninger (2017). Applied Energy. doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.03.051 | ||
| Energy Scientists Must Show Their Workings Stefan Pfenninger (2017). Nature. doi: 10.1038/542393a | ||
| The Importance of Open Data and Software: Is Energy Research Lagging Behind? Stefan Pfenninger, Joseph DeCarolis, Lion Hirth, Sylvain Quoilin, Iain Staffell (2017). Energy Policy. doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2016.11.046 | ||
| 2016 | Using Bias-Corrected Reanalysis to Simulate Current and Future Wind Power Output Iain Staffell and Stefan Pfenninger (2016). Energy. doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2016.08.068 Data is available from Renewables.ninja | |
| Long-Term Patterns of European PV Output Using 30 Years of Validated Hourly Reanalysis and Satellite Data Stefan Pfenninger and Iain Staffell (2016). Energy. doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2016.08.060 Data is available from Renewables.ninja | ||
| 2015 | Turning Points in Climate Change Adaptation Saskia Werners, Erik van Slobbe, Tobias Bölscher, Albert Oost, Stefan Pfenninger, Giacomo Trombi, Marco Bindi, Marco Moriondo (2015). Ecology and Society. doi: 10.5751/ES-07403-200403 | |
| Renewables, Nuclear, or Fossil Fuels? Scenarios for Great Britain's Power System Considering Costs, Emissions and Import Dependency Stefan Pfenninger and James Keirstead (2015). Applied Energy. doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.04.102 | ||
| Controlling the Self-Organizing Dynamics in a Sandpile Model on Complex Networks by Failure Tolerance Junjian Qi and Stefan Pfenninger (2015). EPL (Europhysics Letters). doi: 10.1209/0295-5075/111/38006 | ||
| Comparing Concentrating Solar and Nuclear Power as Baseload Providers Using the Example of South Africa Stefan Pfenninger and James Keirstead (2015). Energy. doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2015.04.077 | ||
| 2014 | On the Limits to Solar Thermal Power: A Reply to Trainer Johan Lilliestam, Stefan Pfenninger, Paul Gauché, Kerstin Damerau, Fabian Wagner, Anthony Patt (2014). Energy Policy. doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2014.09.020 | |
| Potential for Concentrating Solar Power to Provide Baseload and Dispatchable Power Stefan Pfenninger, Paul Gauché, Johan Lilliestam, Kerstin Damerau, Fabian Wagner, Anthony Patt (2014). Nature Climate Change. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2276 | ||
| Governance Barriers to Renewable Energy in North Africa Nadejda Komendantova, Stefan Pfenninger, Anthony Patt (2014). The International Spectator. doi: 10.1080/03932729.2014.907627 | ||
| Energy Systems Modeling for Twenty-First Century Energy Challenges Stefan Pfenninger, Adam Hawkes, James Keirstead (2014). Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. doi: 10.1016/j.rser.2014.02.003 | ||
| 2013 | Vulnerability of Solar Energy Infrastructure and Output to Climate Change Anthony Patt, Stefan Pfenninger, Johan Lilliestam (2013). Climatic Change. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0887-0 | |
| Thresholds, Tipping and Turning Points for Sustainability under Climate Change Saskia E Werners, Stefan Pfenninger, Erik van Slobbe, Marjolijn Haasnoot, Jan H Kwakkel, Rob J Swart (2013). Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability. doi: 10.1016/j.cosust.2013.06.005 | ||
| Knowledge and Information Needs of Adaptation Policy-Makers: A European Study Susanne Hanger, Stefan Pfenninger, Magali Dreyfus, Anthony Patt (2013). Regional Environmental Change. doi: 10.1007/s10113-012-0317-2 | ||
| 2012 | Introduction to Systems Analysis: Mathematically Modeling Natural Systems Dieter M. Imboden and Stefan Pfenninger (2012). Springer. ISBN: 978-3-642-30638-9. https://www.systems-analysis.org/ |